Convective Outlook: Tue 05 Apr 2016
LOW
SLGT
MDT
HIGH
SVR
What do these risk levels mean?
Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Tue 05 Apr 2016 - 05:59 UTC Wed 06 Apr 2016

ISSUED 08:46 UTC Tue 05 Apr 2016

ISSUED BY: Dan

UPDATE 08:46 UTC Extended LOW farther westwards across S England, although main focus remains for Kent/E Sussex

Sharp upper trough gradually clears eastern Britain during Tuesday early-mid afternoon. Meanwhile, sea breeze convergence likely to aid at least a risk of scattered showers just inland from the south coast, moving eastwards in the mean flow (i.e. potentially shower-training over similar areas). Given enough cold air aloft within upper trough and sufficiently steep lapse rates, there may be some sporadic lightning from any stronger cells, albeit considered a low probability.