Cold mid-levels atop relatively warm SSTs and diurnal heating over land will generate numerous showers, some perhaps weakly-electrified, hence a broad LOW threat level issued. The most likely areas to see some (sporadic) lightning will being over Northern Ireland and SW Scotland during the latter half of the morning, expanding across northern England, north Wales and the north Midlands through the afternoon - areas farther south have a much lower risk of lightning. That said, shear is much stronger over areas farther south and this may be enough to compensate the overall weaker instability to produce a few incidences of lightning.

Some small hail is possible in any stronger cores, perhaps locally above 1.0cm in diameter over parts of Ireland where there is likely to be a better overlap of instability and shear.