Convective Outlook: Mon 02 May 2016 |
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What do these risk levels mean? |
VALID 06:00 UTC Mon 02 May 2016 - 05:59 UTC Tue 03 May 2016
ISSUED 15:07 UTC Sun 01 May 2016
br> br>ISSUED BY: Dan
An Atlantic frontal system will slide southeastwards across the British Isles during Monday, beneath a sharpening upper trough - as this trough interacts with the surface cold front, it seems likely that elements of line convection will develop, particularly across the Midlands into East Anglia through the afternoon and early evening. Overall, such elements will be too shallow for lightning, but it is not out of the question that some isolated lightning may occur with such features along the cold front, and perhaps any following showers in the post-frontal environment, hence the extension of the (low-end) LOW across Midlands / East Anglia.