Convective Outlook: Thu 21 Jul 2016

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Thu 21 Jul 2016 - 05:59 UTC Fri 22 Jul 2016

ISSUED 05:02 UTC Thu 21 Jul 2016

ISSUED BY: Dan

A rather messy picture with areas of dynamic and convective precipitation developing later today and overnight, giving a rather broad low (but non-zero) risk of lightning during Thursday / Thursday night. Greatest risk appears to be over parts of Northern Ireland / Ireland this afternoon with the aid of some diurnal heating generating a few hundred Jkg^-1 CAPE, with some sporadic lightning possible - elsewhere lightning is possible (especially later today and overnight) but considered too low, or coverage at least will be quite low, to warrant any threat levels at this time.