Convective Outlook: Mon 25 Jul 2016

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Mon 25 Jul 2016 - 05:59 UTC Tue 26 Jul 2016

ISSUED 11:54 UTC Sun 24 Jul 2016

ISSUED BY: Dan

Broad upper low sits across the Atlantic, south of Iceland, with various upper troughs rotating around the main parent centre. Despite cool air being present aloft on Monday, the steepest lapse rates will have passed through Scotland overnight, and therefore not phasing favourably with diurnal heating on Monday daytime. Nonetheless, numerous showers are expected across the LOW threat area, but with a relatively low risk of lightning given marginal instability - perhaps lightning most likely (if any at all) across E / NE Scotland.