Convective Outlook: Thu 28 Jul 2016

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Thu 28 Jul 2016 - 05:59 UTC Fri 29 Jul 2016

ISSUED 16:59 UTC Wed 27 Jul 2016

ISSUED BY: Dan

Similar to Wednesday, a SMZ with dewpoints of 14-17C will be present across the bulk of England and Wales for a time during the afternoon/early evening hours. Given sufficient insolation can develop through otherwise initially extensive cloud, deep convection may allow a few scattered heavy showers to form, perhaps capable of producing some sporadic lightning activity. Given relatively low cloud bases, and some reasonable LLS and backing of the surface winds in advance of the cold front, there is scope for a brief funnel or even weak tornado.