Convective Outlook: Wed 07 Sep 2016

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Wed 07 Sep 2016 - 05:59 UTC Thu 08 Sep 2016

ISSUED 08:25 UTC Wed 07 Sep 2016

ISSUED BY: Dan

As the Atlantic upper trough approaches, mid-level instability release is likely to lead to elevated convection, particularly this evening across parts of Ireland / W Northern Ireland, then migrating northwards across W Scotland overnight. True depth of instability is limited, and so it is questionable as to how much lightning activity may occur, but we have issued a low-end SLGT, given the strongly-sheared environment, to highlight the areas where lightning is more likely to occur tonight.