Convective Outlook: Sun 16 Oct 2016

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Sun 16 Oct 2016 - 05:59 UTC Mon 17 Oct 2016

ISSUED 08:16 UTC Sun 16 Oct 2016

ISSUED BY: Dan

Broad upper low over Ireland will drift northwards through Sunday, eventually merging with the trough south of Greenland by the end of Sunday night. Cold mid-levels, associated with this feature, atop warm SSTs will generate deep convection over seas initially, but this then feeding inland by steering winds. The main hazards will be small hail and gusty winds with the most intense cells - a tornado cannot be ruled out. However, some elements of shower-training increases the threat of local flash flooding, especially on windward coasts where showers are most frequent.