Convective Outlook: Mon 24 Oct 2016

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Mon 24 Oct 2016 - 05:59 UTC Tue 25 Oct 2016

ISSUED 19:18 UTC Sun 23 Oct 2016

ISSUED BY: Dan

Heavy downpours may develop over SW England along and/or to the south of the frontal boundary during Monday. Given modest instability, light steering winds and relatively high PWAT values, any heavy (and potentially) thundery downpours that do develop have the potential to produce some high rainfall totals over relatively small areas, bringing the threat of localised flooding. A few funnel clouds or brief waterspout/tornado will also be possible. There is potential to upgrade some parts of this region to a low-end SLGT if guidance looks similar come Monday morning.