Convective Outlook: Tue 21 Mar 2017

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Tue 21 Mar 2017 - 05:59 UTC Wed 22 Mar 2017

ISSUED 22:04 UTC Mon 20 Mar 2017

ISSUED BY: Dan

Sharpening upper trough and its associated cold pool atop relatively warm SSTs (and diurnal heating inland) will generate scattered showers and a few weakly-electrified thunderstorms. Showers will tend to be most frequent in the north and west, since profiles look much drier farther east. That said, any showers that do track/develop in eastern areas will still have the potential to produce some small hail and sporadic lightning.