Convective Outlook: Tue 02 May 2017

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Tue 02 May 2017 - 05:59 UTC Wed 03 May 2017

ISSUED 04:41 UTC Mon 01 May 2017

ISSUED BY: Dan

Cut-off upper low will become centred across eastern France on Tuesday, but still sufficiently close to S/SE England to provide some cool air aloft and marginal instability in response to diurnal heating. A few scattered showers are likely to develop during Tuesday afternoon, enhanced by low-level wind convergence and thence moving generally S/SW-wards in the flow, perhaps marginally deep enough to produce some isolated lightning.