Convective Outlook: Sun 14 May 2017
LOW
SLGT
MDT
HIGH
SVR
What do these risk levels mean?
Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Sun 14 May 2017 - 05:59 UTC Mon 15 May 2017

ISSUED 20:22 UTC Sat 13 May 2017

ISSUED BY: Chris

Post-cold front environment will become unstable (100j/kg CAPE) with the combination of cold air advection aloft and daytime heating. Moisture will be limited in the southern area, so while isolated heavy showers will be likely, moisture and depth of convection will limit the risk of thunder. 


Profiles are a little more moist and unstable (200-250j/kg CAPE) in the Scotland area, and numerous showers will develop towards midday and into the afternoon and the risk of lightning there is deemed a little higher.