Given differences over timing and position of these features between various model guidance, it becomes difficult to pinpoint areas most favourable for lightning activity - in either case, it is not expected to be widespread, and generally rather isolated/sporadic given marginal instability.

In a general sense away from areas of showery rain, sufficient insolation and steep mid-level lapse rates will help generate a few hundred J/kg CAPE, capable of producing scattered showers - some perhaps weakly-electrified. Reluctant to issue a SLGT for previously mentioned reasons, but have included a low-end SLGT for parts of C + E Ireland where one or two isolated thunderstorms could occur during the afternoon, and perhaps another area of focus could be the Midlands towards Glocs/SE Wales - but very much dependent on the position and timing of the front approaching from the south. Some small hail will be possible with the strongest cells.