Convective Outlook: Wed 21 Nov 2018
LOW
SLGT
MDT
HIGH
SVR
What do these risk levels mean?
Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Wed 21 Nov 2018 - 05:59 UTC Thu 22 Nov 2018

ISSUED 21:22 UTC Tue 20 Nov 2018

ISSUED BY: Dan

Upper cold pool continues to drift northwestwards, atop relatively warm SSTs. The resultant marginal instability will aid the development of numerous showers over seas, being driven inland by predominantly east or southeasterly steering winds.

Most areas will remain void of lightning activity, but a few isolated strikes will be possible - especially where better forcing from low-level convergence exists. Particular interest may be Dorset and/or east Devon first thing on Wednesday morning, and parts of E / NE Leinster. A dry intrusion forecast to slide NW-wards across the Celtic Sea on Wednesday evening / night may also increase the chances of some sporadic lightning here and into southern Ireland.