Convective Outlook: Tue 22 Jan 2019
LOW
SLGT
MDT
HIGH
SVR
What do these risk levels mean?
Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Tue 22 Jan 2019 - 05:59 UTC Wed 23 Jan 2019

ISSUED 20:05 UTC Mon 21 Jan 2019

ISSUED BY: Dan

Disrupting upper trough will continue dig across mainland Europe, forming a cut-off upper low. The net result is the more mobile northwesterly flow begins to slow/stall, with limited eastward progress by Tuesday night. 

With a cold front having cleared through during the early hours of Tuesday, the post-frontal environment is characterised by cold air advecting across relatively warm seas. This will generate a few hundred J/kg CAPE, with numerous wintry showers developing over open seas and then pushed well-inland by both strong northwesterly steering flow and also embedded troughs in the flow aiding greater organisation. A few lightning strikes, gusty winds and small hail (amongst pre-existing rain, sleet and snow) will be possible.