Convective Outlook: Thu 28 Feb 2019
LOW
SLGT
MDT
HIGH
SVR
What do these risk levels mean?
Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Thu 28 Feb 2019 - 05:59 UTC Fri 01 Mar 2019

ISSUED 20:25 UTC Wed 27 Feb 2019

ISSUED BY: Dan

A small upper low will migrate eastwards across the British Isles on Thursday, the associated cold pool atop relatively warm seas and diurnal heating inland helping to generate a couple hundred J/kg CAPE. Scattered showers and longer spells of showery rain are likely to affect many parts of central and southern Britain, and across Ireland. A few sporadic lightning strikes will be possible, although weak instability and fairly saturated profiles suggests this is unlikely to be widespread enough to warrant a SLGT.