Convective Outlook: Sat 04 May 2019
LOW
SLGT
MDT
HIGH
SVR
What do these risk levels mean?
Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Sat 04 May 2019 - 05:59 UTC Sun 05 May 2019

ISSUED 19:11 UTC Fri 03 May 2019

ISSUED BY: Dan

Upper trough continues to drift southwards from the North Sea / Scandinavia across into mainland Europe. While the trough axis will have moved away from the British Isles, mid-level lapse rates will remain sufficiently steep, combined with marginal CAPE, to allow a few isolated lightning strikes from the most intense cells.


Showers will tend to decrease in intensity and coverage during the evening and night hours as daytime heating subsides and upper cold pool moves away.