Convective Outlook: Mon 27 May 2019
LOW
SLGT
MDT
HIGH
SVR
What do these risk levels mean?
Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Mon 27 May 2019 - 05:59 UTC Tue 28 May 2019

ISSUED 19:26 UTC Sun 26 May 2019

ISSUED BY: Chris

An area of low pressure will move southwards through the North Sea with troughs extending into the British Isles bringing unstable conditions and widespread showers and a few thunderstorms.


A combination of cold air aloft,  surface convergence and 200-400 J/kg of CAPE will help to trigger widespread showers across the British Isles. Convergence boundaries near the coast of E/NE England will increase the risk of heavier showers, however the highest instability looks somewhat south of the convergence zone so the forecast remains isolated for lightning at this time. An upgrade to Slight will be considered for somewhere in eastern England on Monday morning.