Convective Outlook: Sun 01 Mar 2020
LOW
SLGT
MDT
HIGH
SVR
What do these risk levels mean?
Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Sun 01 Mar 2020 - 05:59 UTC Mon 02 Mar 2020

ISSUED 21:20 UTC Sat 29 Feb 2020

ISSUED BY: Dan

Similar to Saturday, different areas will have a low risk of lightning at different times through this forecast period, hence the broad LOW threat level. Frontal rain and hill snow will persist across central and southern Scotland for much of Sunday, slowly retreating northwards. North of this frontal boundary, showers close to the centre of the low over the Northern Isles could produce a few isolated lightning strikes. Equally, south of the frontal boundary scattered showers across Ireland, England and Wales may also produce a few isolated lightning strikes.

On Sunday night, a developing feature will likely bring some longer spells of showery rain (and possible wet snow in places) to southern counties of England. The exact track and northern extent is somewhat uncertain, but some sporadic lightning could occur through the English Channel - given the uncertainty over the development of this feature, have refrained from introducing a SLGT at this stage.