Convective Outlook: Tue 03 Mar 2020

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Tue 03 Mar 2020 - 05:59 UTC Wed 04 Mar 2020

ISSUED 05:34 UTC Tue 03 Mar 2020

ISSUED BY: Dan

Upper troughing will continue to drift eastwards from the British Isles, allowing ridging to build from the west. Remnant cool air aloft will aid a couple hundred J/kg CAPE in response to SSTs and diurnal heating inland. A few showers are possible, which may produce the odd isolated lightning strike - the risk greatest (albeit still fairly low) towards northern and western Scotland, and fairly minimal elsewhere given restricted convective depth and weak instability.