Convective Outlook: Wed 08 Jul 2020
LOW
SLGT
MDT
HIGH
SVR
What do these risk levels mean?
Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Wed 08 Jul 2020 - 05:59 UTC Thu 09 Jul 2020

ISSUED 07:01 UTC Wed 08 Jul 2020

ISSUED BY: Dan

Scattered showers will develop on Wednesday across Scotland, primarily over high ground where orographic forcing will aid ascent. However, as with previous days the depth of convection will be quite shallow (ELTs around -10C or warmer), suggesting the risk of lightning is rather low.

Overnight, some pockets of embedded convection may develop across Wales / SW England drifting eastwards across the Midlands / S England towards East Anglia. However, meagre CAPE and saturated profiles suggests the risk of lightning is very low here. Showers will also approach the Northern Isles and Outer Hebrides late in the night, but again the risk of lightning here is very low.