Convective Outlook: Mon 26 Apr 2021
LOW
SLGT
MDT
HIGH
SVR
What do these risk levels mean?
Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Mon 26 Apr 2021 - 05:59 UTC Tue 27 Apr 2021

ISSUED 01:18 UTC Mon 26 Apr 2021

ISSUED BY: Dan

A vertically-stacked low will drift southeastwards across Scotland on Monday, associated with a cold pool aloft. After early rain moves through, some modest surface heating could yield a few hundred J/kg CAPE - primarily NE Scotland - to help generate some deep convection. As such, heavy showers may develop during the afternoon/early evening in particular, capable of producing hail and isolated lightning - but the risk is generally considered quite low (10%).