Convective Outlook: Sun 13 Jun 2021

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Sun 13 Jun 2021 - 05:59 UTC Mon 14 Jun 2021

ISSUED 07:10 UTC Sun 13 Jun 2021

ISSUED BY: Dan

As the upper ridge axis gradually shifts eastwards to Scandinavia on Sunday, pulses of weak mid-level instability will be present across Scotland, northern England and Northern Ireland ahead of the surface cold front. While lightning is deemed very unlikely in most places, an odd lightning strike cannot be ruled out with pockets of showery rain sliding eastwards across the area - most likely over the North Sea on Sunday night. Low-topped showers will then follow the cold front into NW Scotland overnight.