Convective Outlook: Sun 24 Oct 2021

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Sun 24 Oct 2021 - 05:59 UTC Mon 25 Oct 2021

ISSUED 07:12 UTC Sun 24 Oct 2021

ISSUED BY: Dan

As a weakening cold front drifts eastwards across Britain on Sunday, scattered showers will follow from the west as cooler air aloft overspreads relatively warm SSTs. The coldest air aloft will pass near western Scotland, and so here the deepest convection is expected with convective cloud farther south generally shallower in depth and in a rather dry environment. As such, the greatest potential for a few isolated lightning strikes will be in western Scotland - especially late afternoon and into the evening hours - with a rather low risk elsewhere.