Convective Outlook: Sun 06 Feb 2022

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Sun 06 Feb 2022 - 05:59 UTC Mon 07 Feb 2022

ISSUED 08:04 UTC Sun 06 Feb 2022

ISSUED BY: Dan

An extending upper trough will slide down the North Sea, with a strong northwesterly jet on its rear side. The associated cold pool will yield a few hundred J/kg CAPE in response to SSTs, and numerous showers are expected across many parts of the UK and Ireland - especially central and northern areas. A few sporadic lightning strikes will be possible, although the risk in any one location is fairly low, and given the strongly-sheared environment some line segments could evolve capable of producing gusty winds. Showers will ease towards evening as transient ridging builds from the west.