| Convective Outlook: Wed 23 Feb 2022 |
|
What do these risk levels mean? |
VALID 06:00 UTC Wed 23 Feb 2022 - 05:59 UTC Thu 24 Feb 2022
ISSUED 07:50 UTC Wed 23 Feb 2022
ISSUED BY: Dan
A cold front will progress slowly southeastwards across most of Britain and Ireland through Wednesday and Wednesday night. Some embedded line convection is likely at times, which may produce a few sporadic lightning strikes - although the risk is likely to decrease with time (and hence southward extent). The post-frontal environment will be very unstable as cold air aloft overspreads relatively warm SSTs helping to generate numerous showers. These will pose the risk of occasional lightning strikes, and the risk will gradually expand from NW Scotland / Northern Isles initially to reach SW Ireland by the early hours of Thursday. The risk may increase over the Irish Sea / NW England towards the end of the night. Hail and squally winds will accompany many of the showers, perhaps gusting over 70mph locally, and an isolated tornado may also be possible.
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