Convective Outlook: Sun 10 Apr 2022

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Sun 10 Apr 2022 - 05:59 UTC Mon 11 Apr 2022

ISSUED 07:08 UTC Sun 10 Apr 2022

ISSUED BY: Dan

An upper ridge covers the UK/Ireland on Sunday, but as this gradually shifts eastwards later in the day northward advection of a higher Theta-W airmass will occur from Spain across Biscay towards SW England and southern Ireland. Profiles will gradually become increasingly unstable aloft, and towards the very end of the night a few elevated thunderstorms will be possible close to the Isles of Scilly / southern Cornwall. Cloud bases will likely be around 6,500ft, if not higher. Showery rain will also move into parts of Ireland and may produce a few isolated lightning strikes, although the risk is rather low. A finger of elevated showers may also develop on Sunday night from Northern Ireland across the Irish Sea to NW England, and later SW Scotland.