Convective Outlook: Sun 12 Jun 2022
LOW
SLGT
MDT
HIGH
SVR
What do these risk levels mean?
Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Sun 12 Jun 2022 - 05:59 UTC Mon 13 Jun 2022

ISSUED 19:51 UTC Sat 11 Jun 2022

ISSUED BY: Chris

Low pressure to the north of Scotland and a minor shortwave will pass through northern Britain during the day on Sunday and steeping lapse rates will help to trigger scattered showers across Scotland, northern England and northern parts of Ireland. 


A small amount of CAPE (300-400J/kg) will develop during the afternoon, mainly across eastern Scotland. However limited moisture and weak shear will limit the depth of convection, thus making the lightning risk quite small, and probably highest across eastern parts of Scotland and perhaps northeastern England later in the day. 

A broad ridge will begin to build in from the west towards the end of the day.