|Convective Outlook: Fri 24 Jun 2022|
|What do these risk levels mean?|
VALID 06:00 UTC Fri 24 Jun 2022 - 05:59 UTC Sat 25 Jun 2022
ISSUED 21:52 UTC Thu 23 Jun 2022br> br>
ISSUED BY: Chris
A slow moving area of low pressure centred near Ireland will help to bring an unsettled day across much of Britain and Ireland although drier in the southeast. A trough will move northeastwards across central and northern England and SE Scotland during the afternoon and this will help to trigger some heavy showers in the afternoon, some perhaps turning thundery. 500-700 J/kg of CAPE is possible by the afternoon across N/Cen and NE England and this combined with some weak surface convergence will likely aid in some heavier showers, with a few producing some lightning. Shear and mid-level lapse rates are relatively weak so convective updrafts may not be all that long lasting, however as they will be slow moving some locally heavy downpours are possible.