Convective Outlook: Thu 25 Aug 2022

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Thu 25 Aug 2022 - 05:59 UTC Fri 26 Aug 2022

ISSUED 05:55 UTC Thu 25 Aug 2022

ISSUED BY: Dan

Heavy rain with embedded thunderstorms will likely be ongoing on Thursday morning in association with a destabilising >18C 850hPa Theta-W plume and a shortwave running northeastwards. Given many hours of convection during the night, the atmosphere will become increasingly worked over and will likely result in lightning activity reducing through the morning. Nonetheless, some further heavy rain is likely across East Anglia and SE England for a time, with locally high rainfall totals and the risk of surface water flooding. It will remain humid in these areas through much of the day, despite lower temperatures, until the surface cold front moves through later in the day.